💎 LAPIS LAZULI

Market Intelligence · DCF · Scenarios · Monte Carlo · Factor Models

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Live Watchlist — Top 10

Symbol	Trend	Price	Change	Day Range	Volume	Mkt Cap	Signal

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Supports full projections: DCF · Scenarios · Monte Carlo. Up to 10 stocks.

Portfolio Overview

Multi-model consensus

Symbol	Model	FCF/sh	FCF Growth	WACC	DCF Intrinsic	Earnings Target	Margin of Safety	Sell Window

Symbol	Bear Case	Base Case	Bull Case	Probability Weights	Expected Value	EV vs Current	Trend

500-path geometric Brownian motion simulation over 12 months using stock-specific drift (μ) and volatility (σ). Distribution bands show P10 / P25 / P50 / P75 / P90 outcome prices.

Symbol	Current	μ (drift)	σ (vol)	12-Month Distribution	P10	P50	P90	P(Beat Current)

Trading Signals

Symbol	Signal	Confidence	Strength	Catalyst	Updated

Technical Indicators

Symbol	RSI (14)	MACD	EMA Trend	Vol Trend	52-Week Range	Price

Valuation Multiples

P/E · PEG · P/B · P/S · EV/EBITDA

P/E = Price ÷ EPS PEG = P/E ÷ EPS Growth % P/B = Price ÷ Book Value/Share P/S = Mkt Cap ÷ Revenue EV/EBITDA = (Mkt Cap + Debt − Cash) ÷ EBITDA

Symbol	Sector	Price	Fwd P/E	PEG	P/B	P/S	EV/EBITDA	Rating

Risk Analysis

Beta · Sharpe · VaR · Volatility

Beta = Cov(r_i, r_m) ÷ Var(r_m) Sharpe = (R − R_f) ÷ σ [R_f = 5.3%] VaR_95% = −μ + 1.645 × σ Sortino = (R − R_f) ÷ σ_downside

Symbol	Sector	Beta	σ (vol)	Sharpe Est.	VaR 95% (1yr)	Risk Level	Trend

Fundamental Analysis

ROE · ROIC · Margins · Growth

ROE = Net Income ÷ Shareholders' Equity ROIC = NOPAT ÷ (Debt + Equity) FCF Yield = FCF/Share ÷ Price Net Margin = Net Income ÷ Revenue DuPont ROE = Margin × Asset Turnover × Leverage

Symbol	Sector	ROE	ROIC	Net Margin	Rev Growth	FCF Yield	Debt/Equity

Capital Returns

Div Yield · Buybacks · FCF Yield · Total Return

Div Yield = Annual Div ÷ Price × 100 Buyback Yield = Buybacks ÷ Mkt Cap × 100 FCF Yield = FCF ÷ Mkt Cap × 100 Total Return Yield = Div + Buyback + FCF Payout Ratio = Dividends ÷ Net Income × 100

Symbol	Sector	Div Yield	Payout %	Buyback Yield	FCF Yield	Total Return	Grade

Simulated data only · All models (DCF, Scenarios, Monte Carlo, Multiples) use estimated inputs · Not financial advice · Do not make investment decisions based on this tool